Hedera Surged 20%+, Then Sellers Returned: Key HBAR Levels to Watch

HBAR surged 27. 32% on September 28 to an intraday high of $0. 1310, before sellers drove a 16.

09% decline the following day, according to Market Capitalize. The rapid reversal has put the durability of the rally—not simply the size of the initial move—at the centre of the short-term HBAR price prediction. On October 1, HBAR was changing hands at $0.

1064, based on CoinMarketCap data. The price remained below the first daily resistance at $0. 1094 while holding above the closely clustered support zone around $0.

1010 and $0. 1007. A recent market analysis linked the advance to IBM-related enterprise news and wider institutional, artificial-intelligence and tokenization narratives.

Those themes may continue to draw attention, but the post-spike price action and an overbought daily RSI mean buyers need to show that they can regain momentum rather than merely absorb a pullback. HBAR’s daily signals remain bullish but overbought On the daily timeframe, HBAR remains above all three supplied exponential moving averages. The 20-day EMA stood at $0.

09233, the 50-day EMA at $0. 08322 and the 200-day EMA at $0. 08750 on September 29, according to CoinDCX.

With spot at $0. 1064 on October 1, this arrangement still describes a price trading above its short-, medium- and longer-term trend references. That is constructive trend evidence, but it also shows how extended the preceding move became.

The daily 14-period RSI was 76. 59 on September 29. As the reading is above 70, CoinDCX characterised the market as overbought: momentum remained strong, while the risk of a cooling phase had increased.

The sequence from the $0. 1310 intraday peak to the following day’s sell-off is consistent with that tension. An overbought RSI does not establish that HBAR must fall, nor does trading above its EMAs rule out further volatility.

It does mean a recovery attempt faces a higher bar: the market needs to convert the rally’s underlying trend support into renewed buying after a sharp bout of profit-taking. Activity has remained elevated. HBAR’s 24-hour trading volume was approximately $843.

65 million on October 1, following the rally and reversal, Market Capitalize reported. Elevated turnover can accompany either absorption by buyers or continued distribution by sellers, so volume alone does not settle the direction of the next move. Another supplied daily signal is positive, although its detail is limited.

Blockspot reports a strongly positive MACD-based signal alongside an “Extreme Greed” score of 88/100, but does not publish the underlying MACD line. The available evidence therefore supports a bullish momentum reading, not a precise MACD crossover or numerical interpretation. HBAR support at $0.

1010 and resistance at $0. 1094 frame the next move The immediate range is narrow. At $0.

1064, HBAR sits between $0. 1010 Fibonacci support and $0. 1094 primary daily pivot resistance.

The $0. 1007 daily pivot support sits almost alongside the former, creating a near-term area that matters more than the more distant September base while the token remains close to spot. LevelRoleWhy it matters$0.

1094ResistancePrimary daily pivot resistance and the first upside hurdle. $0. 1010SupportNearest Fibonacci support below spot.

$0. 1007SupportPrimary daily pivot support, reinforcing the nearby support area. $0.

1230ResistanceRecovery cap identified after the pullback from the spike. $0. 0940SupportNext downside level if $0.

1010 gives way. $0. 1310ResistanceSeptember 28 swing high and rally peak.

For an upside continuation, HBAR would first need to reclaim $0. 1094. Clearing that pivot would put attention on $0.

1230, the recovery cap identified after the retreat from the spike. Only then would the September 28 high of $0. 1310 return as the relevant test.

These are successive obstacles, rather than indications that HBAR is assured to revisit the rally high. On the other side, holding $0. 1010 and $0.

1007 would indicate that buyers are defending the nearest post-rally support area. A loss of that zone would expose $0. 0940, identified as the next downside level if the Fibonacci support fails.

The $0. 07190 September-base floor is the deeper structural level in the supplied analysis; it is not the immediate focus at current prices. There is also a higher resistance at $0.

15562, marked above a triangle-breakout trigger in analysis from CoinGabbar. It remains contextual rather than near-term while HBAR is still below $0. 1094, $0.

1230 and the $0. 1310 swing high. HBAR price prediction: reclaiming $0.

1094 would test whether the rally can extend The near-term HBAR outlook is conditionally constructive, but not yet a clean continuation signal. HBAR remains above its supplied daily EMAs, and the enterprise, AI and tokenization narrative cited during the surge provides a current backdrop for renewed interest. Hedera’s participation in Sibos and The AI Conference through October 1 also keeps its enterprise and AI positioning visible, according to its events page.

That backdrop does not remove the technical constraint. The 76. 59 daily RSI was already overbought before the reversal, while the decline from $0.

1310 showed sellers were active at higher prices. A move back above $0. 1094 would be the first evidence that HBAR can rebuild upside momentum; a subsequent clearance of $0.

1230 would make a retest of the $0. 1310 rally high a live scenario. Conversely, inability to retake $0.

1094 would leave the rebound case unproven. A sustained failure of the $0. 1010-$0.

1007 support area would weaken the bullish setup and shift focus to $0. 0940. The elevated $843.

65 million 24-hour volume reported after the reversal makes the reaction around these nearby levels especially important, because it shows the market is still actively repricing the September surge. Hedera has also announced a project-specific policy change: from September 2026, atomic batches may contain no more than one smart-contract call, with smart-contract calls to be removed from atomic batches entirely in March 2027. The announcement sets out a network change, but the available information does not establish it as a driver of HBAR’s short-term price action.

In this HBAR price prediction, the rally can extend only if buyers regain $0. 1094 and then overcome $0. 1230 despite the stretched RSI backdrop.

Defending the $0. 1010-$0. 1007 zone would preserve that possibility.

Losing it would favour a deeper retracement toward the next supplied support instead of an immediate return to the September spike. Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.